Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 3.528042 3.746247 3.980021 4.250729 4.557685 4.897530 5.305950
2025-07-27 3.346198 3.670635 4.040876 4.501668 5.070397 5.764913 6.704184
2025-08-03 3.161001 3.554418 4.026116 4.649351 5.478683 6.591688 8.299484
2025-08-10 2.936656 3.358817 3.882836 4.606258 5.626781 7.108518 9.663146
2025-08-17 2.697701 3.118356 3.652060 4.410210 5.522908 7.232224 10.460018
2025-08-24 2.530188 2.952589 3.499237 4.296610 5.512028 7.487641 11.604380
2025-08-31 2.416444 2.846266 3.413572 4.263639 5.611836 7.943712 13.412844
2025-09-07 2.296987 2.723249 3.293718 4.165217 5.588567 8.171505 14.865805
2025-09-14 2.187628 2.606777 3.173855 4.053587 5.525020 8.305230 16.195404
2025-09-21 2.087833 2.497772 3.057161 3.935664 5.433721 8.361398 17.374422
2025-09-28 2.034123 2.448877 3.022609 3.941626 5.559459 8.908835 20.922730
2025-10-05 2.034047 2.473665 3.095395 4.124474 6.037784 10.439886 32.667614
2025-10-12 1.993936 2.445539 3.096315 4.204627 6.369946 11.898507 56.636381
2025-10-19 1.981809 2.457415 3.159780 4.402615 7.006178 14.830464 377.525958
2025-10-26 1.950171 2.438898 3.174721 4.517833 7.504277 18.020534 NaN
2025-11-02 1.886348 2.369029 3.102769 4.463333 7.584902 19.639362 NaN
2025-11-09 1.800522 2.262428 2.965429 4.271581 7.280322 19.042732 NaN
2025-11-16 1.736409 2.186184 2.873835 4.161100 7.172001 19.523082 NaN
2025-11-23 1.691708 2.137450 2.824507 4.128282 7.264910 21.399164 NaN
2025-11-30 1.638832 2.074164 2.747816 4.034638 7.173893 22.034351 NaN
2025-12-07 1.586990 2.010706 2.668012 3.928894 7.032433 22.211303 NaN
2025-12-14 1.536977 1.948537 2.587893 3.817308 6.859040 22.025234 NaN
2025-12-21 1.510781 1.922117 2.566402 3.822822 7.027442 25.051703 NaN